Insights Overview Summary
Each quarter, PIMCO’s investment professionals from around the globe gather to update the firm’s global economic outlook. Three of these meetings – March, September and December – focus on the cyclical outlook for the next six to 12 months, while the May economic forum focuses on the secular outlook for the next three to five years. These macro outlooks underpin our global investment process.
Political risk, reform efforts and potential monetary policy shifts cloud the outlook for China, Europe and the U.S.
Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses how PIMCO is positioning portfolios in light of our long-term macroeconomic outlook.
In a world of insecure stability, investors must prepare for five key policy pivots that will test markets.
PIMCO takes a closer look at Fed policy considerations and explains our outlook for above-trend U.S. growth and inflation in the year ahead.
European political risk will be important to watch in the year ahead. PIMCO reviews how we’re expressing our views on the region in portfolios today.
Growth has returned to emerging markets – particularly with Brazil and Russia reemerging from recession – and in China, we forecast a “year of waiting” with no major disruptions expected.
Group CIO Dan Ivascyn explains why PIMCO is still constructive on housing, more active in EM and cautious about interest rate exposure.
Joachim Fels, Global Economic Advisor, and Portfolio Strategist Olivia Albrecht discuss PIMCO’s forecast for global growth and inflation, highlighting the reasons we have more confidence that the global economic expansion will strengthen and broaden over the cyclical horizon.
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